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Ahead of Wall Street

Thursday, April 25th, 2024

Markets took another tumble today out of the gate. The major indices fought back and closed near session highs, but still well-off breakeven. The Dow finished down -375 points, -0.98%, which was the worst of the bunch. Elsewhere, the S&P 500 dropped -0.46%, the Nasdaq was off -0.64% and the small-cap Russell 2000 -0.76%. All four indices are still positive for the week, with one more day of trading to go.

Early morning whiffs of “stagflation” from economic prints joined with disappointing early morning Q1 reports. This created a major downdraft in sentiment, even as it likely increased the Fed’s willingness to finally move on interest rate levels now that data is showing signs of economic strain. Q1 GDP and the latest Trade Deficit numbers comingled with earnings misses from Caterpillar CAT and airline majors American AAL and Southwest LUV.

After the close, we see some big-time companies reporting. Microsoft MSFT posted a routine beat on both top and bottom lines (it has one earnings miss in the past five years), with earnings of $2.94 per share outpacing the $2.81 in the Zacks consensus. Revenues of $61.9 billion in the quarter topped expectations of $60.6 billion, for +17% growth year over year. Operating income grew +23% from a year ago to $27.6 billion for the quarter.

Microsoft’s cloud business (Azure) also gained +23% year over year, to $35.1 billion, including $26.7 billion from its “intelligent cloud” unit, up +21% from the year-ago quarter. Business productivity ramped up +12% to $19.6 billion. Shares are up +5% in late trading on the news, adding to the +7.6% gains year to date and +35% over the past year. Guidance is likely to be spelled out in the conference call, which is about to get underway.

Alphabet GOOGL also beat expectations on its top and bottom lines. Earnings of $1.89 per share sailed past the Zacks consensus by 40 cents per share, and left in the dust the year-ago earnings tally of $1.17 per share. Revenues, subtracting traffic acquisition costs (TAC), came in at $67.59 billion, easily ahead of the $66.04 billion analysts were looking for (the company reported a top-line headline of $80.54 billion). Advertising, especially with YouTube, came in stronger than expected. The company also announced its first-ever dividend yield of 20 cents per share. Shares are up +12.8% in the late session.

Taking the cake this afternoon is Snap, Inc. SNAP. The social media mainstay swung to positive earnings of +$0.03 per share from expectations for -$0.05, and topping the year-ago +$0.01 per share. Revenues of $1.19 billion grew +21% year over year, well ahead of the $1.12 billion Zacks consensus estimate, on +10% year-over-year growth in Daily Active Users, which came in at 422 million. Spotlight content grew +125% from a year ago. Shares of SNAP are up an eye-popping +29% in the after-market.

Intel INTC, however, is headed the opposite direction. Although the chip-making giant beat on its Q1 bottom line — earnings of 18 cents per share versus expectations for 13 cents — it was marginally short on revenues to $12.7 billion ($12.76 billion in the Zacks consensus). But what is sending the shares down -8% in late trading is next-quarter guidance: earnings of 10 cents per share on $12.5-13.5 billion in sales are well short of the previously expected 24 cents per share and $13.54 billion in revenues, respectively.

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Stocks On The Move

Company Symbol Price $Change %Change
Strategic Education Inc. STRA 116.90 16.25 16.15
McEwen Mining Inc. MUX 11.94 1.02 9.34
Groupon, Inc. GRPN 11.47 0.87 8.21
Intrusion Inc. INTZ 1.92 0.13 7.26
Arq, Inc. ARQ 7.84 0.48 6.52

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Earnings and Economic News

Key Earnings Reports For Apr 25, 2024

Economic Event Reported
(+) GDP Advance Estimate - Apr 25, 2024 --
(+) Chain Deflator- Advance Estimate - Apr 25, 2024 --
(+) Disposable Personal Income - Apr 25, 2024 --
(+) Imports - Apr 25, 2024 --
(+) Initial Claims - Apr 25, 2024 --
(+) Pending Home Sales - Apr 25, 2024 --
(+) Federal Funds Rate - Apr 25, 2024 --
(+) Treasury bills (3 mth) - Apr 25, 2024 --
(+) Treasury notes (10 yr) - Apr 25, 2024 --
(+) Exports - Apr 25, 2024 --